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06/26/2010 - Campbellville, ON (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Dan Patch Award winner Sportswriter led most of the way and was able to hold on to win Saturday's $1.5 million North America Cup at Mohawk Raceway. The three-year-old pacer covered the mile in 1:48 3/5.
Driven by Mark MacDonald, Sportswriter took the lead around the first turn and set the pace up the backstretch. Racing in second was Kyle Major with We Will See in third and Fred and Ginger fourth in the 10-horse field.
Last year's two-year-old pacing colt champion took the field into the far turn as Fred and Ginger made a move into second with Kyle Major in third and 2-1 favorite Rock N Roll Heaven advancing into fourth.
Trained by Casie Coleman, Sportswriter had the lead coming off the final turn and into the stretch. We Will See, driven by Brett Miller, came charging along the rail to challenge the leader.
Sportswriter held off We Will See down the stretch to post a one-length victory in the year's first major harness race. Finishing third was 95-1 longshot Piece Of The Rock followed by Rock N Roll Heaven, Delmarvalous, Fred and Ginger, One More Laugh, Kyle Major, Art Professor and All Speed Hanover.
Sportswriter, owned by Steve Calhoun, West Wins Stable and Southwind Farm, notched his first win of the season, picking up $750,000 for the effort. After winning seven of eight races in 2009, the pacer has earned $1,645,411 in his career with eight wins in 12 lifetime starts.
Earlier in the evening, Coleman and MacDonald combined to win the $666,000 Fan Hanover with Western Silk to become the first trainer-driver combination to win both the Fan Hanover and Pepsi North America Cup.
In last week's elimination race, Sportswriter was third to Rock N Roll Heaven.
Sportswriter returned $8.50, $5.50 and $4.60. We Will See paid $21.40 and $10.50, and Piece Of The Rock paid $15.20 to show.
<< Los Angeles, Toronto FC battle to scoreless draw
Toronto, ON (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Donovan Ricketts made just one save to earn his
ninth shutout the season Saturday in a 0-0 tie against Toronto FC at BMO Field
in MLS.
L.A. (10-1-3), which leads the Western Conference by nine points, has allo
<< Cameron, Red Sox top Giants
San Francisco, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Mike Cameron slugged a three-run homer
and Darnell McDonald hit a solo shot as Boston doubled up San Francisco, 4-2,
in the second installment of a three-game interleague series.
Adrian Beltre added
<< Garland outduels Florida's Johnson in Padres' win
Miami, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Jon Garland outdueled Josh Johnson and knocked
in the winning run in San Diego's 2-1 victory over Florida in the middle of a
three-game set at Sun Life Stadium.
Garland (8-5) lasted 6 2/3 innings to grab th
<< Konerko lifts ChiSox to 11th straight victory
Chicago, IL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Paul Konerko's solo home run in the eighth
inning off Andrew Cashner broke a tie game and gave the White Sox a 3-2
decision over the Cubs for their 11th straight victory.
Matt Thornton closed the
Dodgers down Yankees; Burnett loses fifth straight >>
Los Angeles, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - James Loney went 2-for-4 with four RBI
as the Los Angeles Dodgers clobbered the New York Yankees, 9-4, to give
manager Joe Torre his first win against his former team.
The Yankees took a 2-1
Ngwenya's late goal helps Houston draw Colorado >>
Houston, TX (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Joseph Ngwenya scored in the 80th minute as the
Houston Dynamo overcame an own goal by Lovel Palmer to tie the Colorado Rapids
2-2 on Saturday at Robertson Stadium in MLS.
Danny Cruz scored the opener for Hous
Angel lifts New York over Kansas City >>
Kansas City, KS (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Juan Pablo Angel scored two of New York's
three second-half goals, lifting the Red Bulls to a 3-0 win over the Kansas
City Wizards on Saturday at CommunityAmerica Ballpark in MLS.
Salou Ibrahim scored
Buchholz exits with hyperextended knee >>
San Francisco, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Boston Red Sox starter Clay Buchholz
exited Saturday's game against the Giants after pulling up lame running the
bases in second inning.
The Red Sox indicated the 25-year-old right-hander suffe
(This is an update of a sportsbook for the May 4th issue of ESPN The Magazine).
The Kentucky Derby's post-position draw happened on Wednesday. And, as is always the case, shortly afterwards, a buzz raced around Churchill Downs. It was a low rumble at first, nothing that the squares in the mint julep crowd pick up right away. But by the time the sun set over the twin spires, the chatter was impossible to ignore. Everyone -- sharps, trainers, owners -- was talking about one thing: the wise guy horse, the pre-draw long shot us mopes didn't have on our radar until it was too late.
"You think you're hearing the scoop," says handicapper Lane Gold. "Then you get to the window, the odds are short, and you missed it."
Recognizing a wise-guy horse early is as hard as picking a Derby bonnet. That's because handicappers don't like hype (see ya, I Want Revenge). They want Thoroughbreds who look good losing prep races like the Santa Anita Derby. They eye horses who ate up the field after starting wide or made an easy transition from synthetic tracks to dirt. They look for ponies who showed muscle gain race to race and those who ran hard after several weeks' rest.
"A wise guy," says John Avello, a bookmaker at Wynn Las Vegas, "looks for a horse who can improve."
When I first wrote Horse Betting for The Mag, which I turned in a three weeks before Wednesday's draw, I predicted these three horses had wise guy potential:
CHOCOLATE CANDY (15-1 in mid-April, currently 20-1 according to Avello): His second-place finish at Santa Anita, following a seven-week layoff, proved two things: He can run after resting, and -- by losing a high-profile prep race -- he wouldn't be overhyped.
DESERT PARTY (15-1; 15-1): He was upset in the UAE Derby by a horse he had beaten twice. The public remembers his loss, but the wise guys his wins.
PIONEEROF THE NILE (8-1; 4-1): The big favorite at Santa Anita struggled to win, so he initially got less hype than Quality Road and I Want Revenge.
You may have noticed that the odds on Pioneerof the Nile have been cut in half, from 8-1 to 4-1. Which means the wise guys took a shine to him long before the post-position draw. But, to be honest, this is one of those years with four elite horses getting everyone's attention, squares and sharps alike.
"You're not gonna get a lot of chatter about a horse that isn't in that group, which includes Pioneer, I Want Revenge, Dunkirk and Friesan Fire," Avello told me Wednesday. "We don't have a group of horses behind those top four who look like real legit contenders."
Come Derby week, the final two elements in picking a wise guy horse are how he's working out and what gate he's coming out of.
(By the way, picking a Preakness favorite is a whole different bale of hay, partially based on how horses finish in the Derby. You can see my analysis of who has the best shot at Pimlico on Insider Sunday morning.)
Well, early in the week I Want Revenge, Pioneerof the Nile and Friesan Fire were working out better than anyone. Some thought Friesan Fire, currently 6-1, might have run too fast, burning a five-furlong run in :57 4/5. "When you are running that fast you have the sense that it took something out of him," says Gold. "The Derby is longer than any horse has run, and if they need that extra surge you worry they won't have it because they burned it in the workout."
But, Gold points out, Friesan Fire's trainer is Larry Jones, Two years ago his horse Hard Spun did a five-eighths workout in :57 3/5 and then went on to finish second, behind Street Sense, in the Derby. "Every trainer has different methods," says Gold. "And clearly he knows what he's doing."
Now, as for starting position, Gold says to remember this: Churchill Downs traditionally has 14 starting gates. For the Derby, it brings out auxiliary gates and between the original 14th gate and the new 15th gate, there is a little more space than there is between gates 1-14. "That 15 position will give you a precious second or two to sort out what's happening to your inside," says Gold. "Sixteen is also okay because you can follow the horse in front of you."
Dunkirk, one of the race favorites, is coming out of gate 15. In 16 is Baffert's Pioneerof the Nile. I Want Revenge drew 13, where Smarty Jones won from in 2004, and Friesan Fire picked the sixth position. "He doesn't have a lot of speed to the inside of him," says Gold. "So he will get a clear shot to be near the front."
All the jibber-jabber means this: Pioneerof the Nile has leapfrogged from 8-1 to being the second favorite, along with Dunkirk, behind I Want Revenge. Meanwhile, Friesan Fire, with a good trainer, a strong week of training and a decent post position, is still at 6-1. "By Saturday, it's possible he could go from fourth to the favorite," says Gold.
In other words, meet Friesan Fire, your 2009 wise guy horse.
"Now," says Avello, "it's time for action."
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